Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 8.137389 9.472162 10.909164 12.565620 14.416544 16.415281 18.730885
2025-03-23 6.446633 8.172658 10.153583 12.575936 15.437865 18.690859 22.646204
2025-03-30 5.258621 7.179907 9.508785 12.499825 16.196630 20.571990 26.094241
2025-04-06 4.479491 6.532485 9.142846 12.638814 17.125478 22.614383 29.753052
2025-04-13 3.877211 6.008339 8.838498 12.772940 17.991251 24.559429 33.321581
2025-04-20 3.478701 5.694015 8.752016 13.143944 19.135904 26.861552 37.388961
2025-04-27 3.113622 5.372016 8.606314 13.395054 20.100574 28.937507 41.211421
2025-05-04 2.733973 4.975178 8.305164 13.385500 20.681096 30.499418 44.385811
2025-05-11 2.267947 4.380842 7.650529 12.803921 20.407123 30.868997 45.949193
2025-05-18 1.962710 4.004367 7.282315 12.600553 20.635169 31.905409 48.417876
2025-05-25 1.682539 3.631301 6.879276 12.303586 20.692193 32.681843 50.527468
2025-06-01 1.468124 3.344493 6.584764 12.144515 20.929942 33.703766 52.990012
2025-06-08 1.251875 3.025622 6.208376 11.828741 20.913310 34.359516 54.962206
2025-06-15 1.123575 2.858334 6.074916 11.894359 21.479764 35.877384 58.205672
2025-06-22 0.994406 2.669828 5.884079 11.845517 21.854273 37.111541 61.059769
2025-06-29 0.905421 2.552791 5.811303 11.989104 22.536177 38.821773 64.651394
2025-07-06 0.824647 2.441500 5.737661 12.122240 23.200045 40.517063 68.256451
2025-07-13 0.776720 2.398362 5.790343 12.480144 24.245245 42.825371 72.832705
2025-07-20 0.720747 2.327625 5.781170 12.721989 25.100468 44.855944 77.030428
2025-07-27 0.646225 2.199042 5.642459 12.713194 25.524209 46.212770 80.224298
2025-08-03 0.533429 1.950404 5.228462 12.155268 24.969885 45.986484 80.961337
2025-08-10 0.463633 1.802736 5.013149 11.960231 25.034135 46.747343 83.239816
2025-08-17 0.396145 1.646913 4.762371 11.675407 24.920004 47.205598 85.043352